Friday, February 13, 2015

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs. Thatch Predictions

Prediction watch
UFC 183: 7-4
2015 Overall: 23-22
2015 Title fights: 0-1

Now onto the next event! Due to, mostly, a lack of interest, I will only be predicting the main card fights.

Main Card
Ray Borg vs. Chris Kelades
Borg is one of those guys who you really hope gets his act together. He is 1-1 in the octagon and looked great in his last outing after looking terrible in his first. Outside of that loss inside the UFC, he has never lost. He has the potential to be a contender at 125 pounds, in a division that dramatically needs a new contender. Kelades is not on Borg's level and really looks like he is being fed to Borg here so that the UFC can start trying to build him in the flyweight division. Borg by TKO

Michael Prazeres vs. Kevin Lee
Both guys hold one loss in their careers and both guys beat Jesse Ronson inside the octagon. What else do we know. Not really much. Lee was exposed in the cage with Al Iaquinta, but managed to make it to a decision, which not many people have done against the Serra-Longo fighter. It is an intriguing fight in the fact that they are both on the same low level in a stacked 155-pound division. No chance this fight gets finished. Lee by decision

Dan Kelly vs. Patrick Walsh
Kelly comes in undefeated (not counting an exhibition loss on The Ultimate Fighter: Nations) but Walsh is a legit striker, who is very dangerous on the ground as well. That said, Kelly is better on the ground and will likely look to take the fight there. Walsh by decision

Neil Magny vs. Kiichi Kunimoto
Magny stormed through 2014 with a record 5 wins in the year and will be rewarded with a guy who hasn't lost since 2012. I don't pretend to know much about Kunimoto, but I do know that Magny is cerebral, one of the many reasons he has survived in the UFC after a terrible season of The Ultimate Fighter: Carwin vs. Nelson, where neither the winner or the runner up is still employed by the UFC. Magny keeps rolling here for his sixth straight and should get a top 15 fighter next. Magny by decision

Max Holloway vs. Cole Miller
I am still not on any Holloway hype train that there may be. He has not beat anyone of any real depth and he has lost against tougher, veteran and game opponents like Dustin Poirier, Conor McGregor and Dennis Bermudez. I for one, also question his decision win over Leonard Garcia. Miller is slick and even though he doesn't have the stand up game that Holloway has, he is so much longer with a five inch reach advantage. Miller by submission

Benson Henderson vs. Brandon Thatch
Let's dispense with all the pleasantries. Brandon Thatch is not on Benson Henderson's level. Not at 170. Not at 155. Not if they fought at 205. Thatch hasn't lost since 2008 in Strikeforce, while Henderson lost a couple of weeks ago. But exactly who has Thatch beat? An aged Paulo Thiago? Justin Edwards? Thatch got the short end of the stick here and the UFC is going to kill off another rising fighter in a weight class because they had nothing better to back up this event with. Bendo was brought in to save some face value but it will kill Thatch's value, what little he has. Henderson by TKO

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