Showing posts with label Charlotte Hornets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Charlotte Hornets. Show all posts

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Redrafting the 1999 NBA Draft

1999 is almost a forgotten year when you talk about top draft classes, but this class really was loaded from top to bottom as the first and fifty-seventh picks each ended up being All-Stars and All-NBA performers during their careers. There were seven other All-Stars picked between them.

The letdowns there were, especially in the top 15 were both unfortunate and sad. Duke University saw four players go in the top 14 picks, but only two had extended NBA careers and only one (Elton Brand) had any high level of success. Trajan Langdon and William Avery both washed out in the league but had pretty great success overseas.

And the sad: Frederic Weis. Although Knicks fans still have a habit of booing their own draft picks when their names were called, this was perhaps the worst pick in the history of the draft, let alone in New York. Weis, best (and really only) known for being the victim of a Vince Carter leap-frog-your-opponent dunk in the Olympics, never played a single NBA minute. He became one of the highest picks ever, if not THE highest to never see the league.

Pick 1: Chicago Bulls
Who they took: Elton Brand
Who they should have took: Manu Ginobili (57th pick)
Why: Had any single team had the slightest inkling about Manu, he would have been a locked in lottery pick. Had they known what we know now, he would have very clearly been the building block of Chicago’s post-Jordan reboot instead of Brand. He is quite possibly the best foreign player to ever play in the NBA and has shown his game and the level at which he plays has substantial longevity, especially when you consider that he had played professionally overseas for four years at this point. With a player like Manu to build around, Chicago could have made better roster decisions earlier.

Pick 2: Vancouver Grizzlies
Who they took: Steve Francis (traded to Rockets)
Who they should have took: Baron Davis (3rd pick)
Why: First of all, drafting Davis would have given Vancouver someone to build around, as opposed to giving up Steve Francis for a litany of garbage (Othella Harrington may have been their best piece of the Houston trade). Davis went on to be one of the most reliable, gritty and tough point guards in the modern age of the league. He averaged over 16 points and 7 assists during his career, three times averaging 20+ points per game. The trophy years for Davis were his 22.9 ppg, 2.4 spg, 4.3 rpg, 7.5 apg outing in 2003-2004. That same year, had he been in then-Memphis, he would have teamed with Shane Battier and Pau Gasol and possibly been a major threat out West.

Pick 3: Charlotte Hornets
Who they took: Baron Davis
Who they should have took: Elton Brand (1st pick)
Why: While not the best player in this draft now, anyone who sees Brand as near a bust doesn’t know much about the league. He never went on to be the most dominant post of the century as many believed he could, but he averaged 20+ six different years and could have been a foundation (as Davis became) for a soon to be relocating and rebuilding franchise. Elton Brand would have been a great face for the New Orleans Hornets. He is one of a handful of still active players from this draft and although his production has done down, his career point/rebound numbers still hover over 16 and 8. It’s a stretch to say he would have stayed in New Orleans through 2005, but had he, they would have benefited from back to back years of averaging over 20/10 and he instantly would have helped them in 1999, still stumbling over the Kobe debacle.

Pick 4: Los Angeles Clippers
Who they took: Lamar Odom
Who they should have took: Shawn Marion (9th pick)
Why: The draft gets wide open for the next several picks as there may not have been a wrong choice in anybody I name from here through pick 10. But what Marion has provided in his career has been a winning attitude and nearly unparalleled effort. His numbers stay respectable, but Marion has been a guy who was clutch as a teammate. Could he have thrived as THE guy? Who knows. Maybe he wouldn’t have been that guy in LA anyway, but as a big puzzle piece, he was one of the guys who made Phoenix’s run and gun in the 2000s so efficient.

Pick 5: Toronto Raptors
Who they took: Jonathan Bender (traded to Pacers)
Who they should have took: Richard (Rip) Hamilton (7th pick)
Why: Bender was a joke and so was his aged replacement Antonio Davis, so this is automatically and upgrade. Forget his 17.1 career points per game for a minute and remember that Richard Hamilton is one of the best face guarding players in the modern era of the NBA. There are very few guys I would rather have playing defense, especially off the ball. He made other guys work and work and work and work and then some. And I would much rather have Rip in the backcourt as a rookie than the aging Dell Curry or Muggsy Bouges.

Pick 6: Minnesota Timberwolves
Who they took: Wally Szczerbiak
Who they should have took: Steve Francis (2nd pick)
Why: Because the Stephon Marbury experiment was unsuccessful and Minnesota really needed a point guard. Something that made their pick of Szczerbiak odd anyway as Terrell Brandon (the player they got in the Marbury trade) was not a long term fix. Also, with hindsight as it is, we know that Minnesota was on the verge of losing first round draft picks for years to come. Francis may have been happier in Minnesota and it would have given the T-Wolves another chance to partner an explosive point man in a high-scoring combo with Kevin Garnett.

Pick 7: Washington Wizards
Who they took: Richard Hamilton
Who they should have took: Jason Terry (10th pick)
Why: Washington was hungry for a playmaker guard at this point and Terry looked more offensively ready than Rip at this point. And while his assist numbers have never quite added up as a point guard, he’s succeeded as a backup and an undersized shooting guard, hitting 38-percent for his career from long range. He’s also only had two seasons in single digit scoring (his first and 2013-2014) so he has shown consistency. Something that, for the most part, still lacks in Washington today. Also, with Terry on the roster, the Wizards may have never gotten involved with his college teammate Gilbert Arenas years later out of need, something that helped kill their franchise a little more.

Pick 8: Cleveland Cavaliers
Who they took: Andre Miller
Who they should have took: Lamar Odom (4th pick)
Why: For the sad joke that Odom has turned into, he was a stellar prospect and solid contributor for almost his entire career. Cleveland’s guard first approach to lottery life in the years before Lebron didn’t pan out, so taking a nice combo forward like Odom could have been a better avenue, even if it did leave them in the lottery or the smelly end of the playoffs.

Pick 9: Phoenix Suns
Who they took: Shawn Marion
Who they should have took: Ron Artest (16th pick)
Why: It is hard to say what to do here. The Suns lost Jason Kidd during the following season with an injury, so maybe you want another point guard so the brunt of the work doesn’t go to Penny Hardaway. But I say go physical and bring in Artest. Before the real anger issues or name changes, Artest was just a brute force. He would have helped Phoenix initially in their eventual playoff loss to San Antonio and this pick could have changed the path of the franchise. Maybe Artest, teaming with Kidd or even if they still traded for Marbury, becomes what leads Phoenix and never brings Nash or Amare Stoudemire to town. Would it be better? Hard to say, but Artest’s intensity would have been good for a talented, yet pretty emotionless club in 1999.

Pick 10: Atlanta Hawks
Who they took: Jason Terry
Who they should have took: Andre Miller (8th pick)
Why: You basically get the same thing in Miller as you got in Terry, with a little less scoring and little better court vision. In just his third season, Miller put up a 16.5 ppg/10.9 apg season that would have been useful in Atlanta where Terry was the leading scorer pretty quickly. Would this pick have changed anything? No, but it would be a lateral move for another emotionless franchise.

Pick 11: Cleveland Cavaliers
Who they took: Trajan Langdon
Who they should have took: Corey Magette (13th pick)
Why: Langdon was a prototypical Duke player. But there is a reason that old school look doesn’t breed much success for ex-Blue Devils and a reason that Magette lasted longer in the league. Magette and Odom would have been a fierce combo in Cleveland and led a youthful surge for a long ailing club. What Cleveland actually got from Langdon were two uneventful years where he never looked like the advertised “Alaskan Assassin.” Though he washed out and faded in obscurity recently, Magette was still a 16 ppg career scorer who at times looked like a dominant physical specimen capable of leading a franchise as their top guy.

Pick 12: Toronto Raptors
Who they took: Aleksander Radojevic
Who they should have took: Andrei Kirilenko (24th pick)
Why: While Kirilenko has sadly never become the player he has the potential to be, he would have been an awesome player for Toronto to add to a roster that boasted Vince Carter and Tracy McGrady (and in the redraft version a better option than Antonio Davis with the earlier 5th pick). They were already a playoff team, so imagine this Raptors team dropping Davis’ 11.5 ppg and Radojevic’s three games played for Rip Hamilton and AK-47. Yes please.

Pick 13: Seattle Supersonics
Who they took: Corey Magette (traded to Orlando)
Who they should have took: Wally Szczerbiak (6th pick)
Why: Wally deserves to be graded with an incomplete for his career because injuries really prevented us from seeing what kind of longevity he could provide. He was a fresh face in Minnesota and a very different look from the KG run show, which helped him thrive. He averaged 20 ppg in the 2002 playoffs and peaked with 20.1 ppg in 2006 and while he would end up in Seattle eventually, they could have used his diversity, defensive enthusiasm and shooting (a career 40.6-percent shooter from downtown) at this point as they too looked for an identity in the early post-Kemp/Payton era.

Pick 14: Minnesota Timberwolves
Who they took: William Avery
Who they should have took: Raja Bell (undrafted)
Why: Raja was never going to significantly turn heads, but he was another guy who (as a sixth man) was crucial to the mid-2000 Phoenix Suns teams that looked like they may win an NBA title. Bell would have been great relief for Garnett in Minnesota, especially in his 2005-06 and 06-07 seasons when he averaged career high 14.7 ppg for the Suns.

Pick 15: New York Knicks
Who they took: Frederic Weis
Who they should have took: James Posey (18th pick)
Why: Look, I know James Posey isn’t Michael Jordan. However, he also isn’t Frederic Weis. Thankfully. Posey averaged only 8.6 ppg throughout his career but was strong defensively and eventually a surprising revelation of a player during the Celtics’ ‘Big Three’ championship run. And he was consistent, providing about the same level of work until his final two seasons. He would have been the kind of blue collar player that the Knicks used years earlier at their peak and although he would have never been a star, he would have played harder than anyone else they really had at this point.

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Redrafting the 1992 NBA Draft

1992 is such pertinent place to start because, like in 2014, the class was headlined by three guys who you could, conceivably do no wrong in drafting. Those three (Shaquille O’Neal, Alonzo Mourning and Christian Laettner) were the talk of all of the draft. The field behind them was just OK in comparison, so most eyes were solely on those three, which is where it differs from this year.

O’Neal and Mourning were, as was then and is still often a draft trend, the biggest two. Although Laettner had the best college career and was fresh off being part of the original Dream Team, the allure of quality centers has always made for some of the drafts biggest decisions, steals and blunders. And Shaq and Zo were certainly thought to be far from the highlight reel of busts. And while Laettner had a pretty sweet resume, how his game would transfer to the NBA was a mystery. He did pretty much just OK as part of a Team USA squad that didn’t need him and his frame and position in the NBA were still kind of unknowns.

Pick 1: Orlando Magic
Who they took: Shaquille O’Neal
Who they should have took: Shaquille O’Neal
Why: Shaq will go down as one of the best big men to ever play in the league. When Orlando took him, they didn’t even have an idea how dominant he would be. As he got bigger and better, he became even more of a threat that his early, rip tearing down days. He also helped lead Orlando to a Finals appearance. They would love one of those right about now. In retrospect, they would try harder to keep him away from LA, but Shaq looms today as far more the better choice even than he was then.

Pick 2: Charlotte Hornets
Who they took: Alonzo Mourning
Who they should have took: Alonzo Mourning
Why: A fringe Hall of Fame talent, Mourning was absolutely a top post player of this era. His size and footwork was stellar, and like any good big man, he wasn’t afraid to play the physical role (see his tenure with the Miami Heat vs. the Knicks). Again, Charlotte would have liked to hold onto him longer, but with Shaq off the board, this remains the right pick.

Pick 3: Minnesota Timberwolves
Who they took: Christian Laettner
Who they should have took: Christian Laettner
Why: There are people who did go after Laettner who had more productive (in ways) careers. While I wouldn’t label Laettner a bust by any stretch, pro Laettner was no college Laettner. He made one All-Star appearance (as a Hawk) and had an above average career. But even knowing all of what we know now, there is no way the Wolves could have or should have passed on such a talent here. He answered the questions about his size and position by putting on weight and becoming a power forward, though he probably would have benefited from not as much weight and playing as a stretch three.

Pick 4: Dallas Mavericks
Who they took: Jimmy Jackson
Who they should have took: Robert Horry (11th pick)
Why: While Jackson was the first part in the Mavericks’ eventual ‘3J’ plan with Jamal Mashburn and Jason Kidd, there is no way to logically pass on ‘Big Shot Rob’ (who more than earned that moniker) here. Horry was a critical part of many championships in Houston and with the Lakers. Imagine if he could have helped do the same thing in Dallas and made them a contender earlier than they were, bringing titles earlier than their 2011 crown.

Pick 5: Denver Nuggets
Who they took: LaPhonso Ellis
Who they should have took: Jim Jackson (4th pick)
Why: A win-win here for the Nuggets in keeping Ellis versus taking Jackson, but the heart of me feels that a more up-tempo look from Jackson would have benefited the Nuggets.

Pick 6: Washington Bullets
Who they took: Tom Gugliotta
Who they should have took: LaPhonso Ellis (5th pick)
Why: Knowing the injury woes that were on the way, Washington needed another playmaker and Horry’s jump would allow them to pass on big man Gugliotta here. Ellis would have helped a lot when Rex Chapman and Calbert Cheany slowed with injuries in the next couple of years.

Pick 7: Sacramento Kings
Who they took: Walt Williams
Who they should have took: Latrell Sprewell (24th pick)
Why: I’m not sure. At this point, the Kings were a total joke and not much was going to help. Sprewell was one of five future All-Stars from this class and did a lot of good on the court in averaging over 18 points per game in his career. His downside was clearly (mostly) off the court. The on the court issue? Would he have still choked his coach in Sacramento? Who knows.

Pick 8: Milwaukee Bucks
Who they took: Todd Day
Who they should have took: Tom Gugliotta (6th pick)
Why: Gugliotta was a quality big who you were going to get minutes and hard work from. He scored over 9,000 career points and had over 5,000 rebounds. Not a world breaker, but still sustainable numbers. And maybe the Bucks could have kept him for the two years he eventually averaged over 20 points per game in Minnesota. Day on the other hand spent more time out of the league than in it.

Pick 9: Philadelphia 76ers
Who they took: Clarence Weatherspoon
Who they should have took: Clarence Weatherspoon
Why: In a draft of journeymen, Weatherspoon would be a critical off the bench element. There was no 76ers of this era without him. The right pick then remains the best choice for Philly.

Pick 10: Atlanta Hawks
Who they took: Adam Keefe
Who they should have took: Doug Christie (17th pick)
Why: After early struggles/mediocrity, Christie had a tremendous career during the years 1996-2005 in Toronto and Sacramento. He became the Raptors all-time steals leader and was one of the lynch pins in the Chris Webber led Kings teams that gave the Lakers a run in the West year after year. Keefe’s nine year NBA tenure barely left him with better numbers than his four years at Stanford.

Pick 11: Houston Rockets
Who they took: Robert Horry
Who they should have took: Bryant Stith (13th pick)
Why: If there was a Denver Nuggets Hall of Fame, Stith would probably be the face of the 1990’s wing. He was a constant in a town without much promise. Not to say that he had a great career, but Stith was loyal and showed flashes of the ability that made him tough at the University of Virginia. He was solid, nothing more and nothing less. And while he wouldn’t have been as valuable as Horry ended up being, I still think he would have been valuable enough that the Rockets still would have won back-to-back titles with him instead.

Pick 12: Miami Heat
Who they took: Harold Miner
Who they should have took: Malik Sealy (14th pick)
Why: Malik Sealy’s career and life ended too early and tragically in 2000. His presence on the court was intimidating, especially in years with the Clippers and T-Wolves. His face, his frame…Malik had athletic ability for days, even if it didn’t always translate. He finished his career just shy of 5,000 points (still a 10.1 ppg average) and could have been valuable to the slow years in Miami before Alonzo Mourning made his way to South Beach.

Pick 13: Denver Nuggets
Who they took: Bryant Stith
Who they should have took: Anthony Peeler (15th pick)
Why: Peeler was a sharpshooter who rarely found his accuracy. In 2003-2004 he was on to the tune of 48.2 percent from long range. Drafting him was taking a chance that he would be on more often than not. Sadly, the Lakers found out he rarely was. Still he averaged almost 10 ppg and became the first Laker rookie to average double digit scoring in nine years and also cleaned up his off court issues.

Pick 14: Indiana Pacers
Who they took: Malik Sealy
Who they should have took: Walt Williams (7th pick)
Why: Williams was a NBA dud. His career at Maryland was more than just strong, but he never found a beat in the league. Still, at this spot, taking a chance on the 6-8 post was not going to hurt the Pacers. He was an All-Rookie second team selection and put up over 1,000 points in that first year, which would have been a boost for the Pacers off the bench.

Pick 15: Los Angeles Lakers
Who they took: Anthony Peeler
Who they should have took: Harold Miner (12th pick)
Why: Part of me says that this pick should have gone to either Hubert Davis, Jon Barry or Tracy Murray, but I think even knowing what we know, that you have to take the chance on “Baby Jordan.” The toughest thing for Miner in that moniker (which has been often called the beginning of his downfall) is that he was really the first person to have to carry the weight of being the “next Michael Jordan.” That tag holds no weight anymore. Everyone seems to be the next someone. And there have been plenty of other “next Jordans” like Grant Hill and Allen Iverson, but it didn’t sting anyone like it stung the first. And perhaps he would have gotten more playing time and better work in LA than he did in Miami, extending his (what would be) short career beyond just a sideshow dunker.