Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Redrafting the 1992 NBA Draft

1992 is such pertinent place to start because, like in 2014, the class was headlined by three guys who you could, conceivably do no wrong in drafting. Those three (Shaquille O’Neal, Alonzo Mourning and Christian Laettner) were the talk of all of the draft. The field behind them was just OK in comparison, so most eyes were solely on those three, which is where it differs from this year.

O’Neal and Mourning were, as was then and is still often a draft trend, the biggest two. Although Laettner had the best college career and was fresh off being part of the original Dream Team, the allure of quality centers has always made for some of the drafts biggest decisions, steals and blunders. And Shaq and Zo were certainly thought to be far from the highlight reel of busts. And while Laettner had a pretty sweet resume, how his game would transfer to the NBA was a mystery. He did pretty much just OK as part of a Team USA squad that didn’t need him and his frame and position in the NBA were still kind of unknowns.

Pick 1: Orlando Magic
Who they took: Shaquille O’Neal
Who they should have took: Shaquille O’Neal
Why: Shaq will go down as one of the best big men to ever play in the league. When Orlando took him, they didn’t even have an idea how dominant he would be. As he got bigger and better, he became even more of a threat that his early, rip tearing down days. He also helped lead Orlando to a Finals appearance. They would love one of those right about now. In retrospect, they would try harder to keep him away from LA, but Shaq looms today as far more the better choice even than he was then.

Pick 2: Charlotte Hornets
Who they took: Alonzo Mourning
Who they should have took: Alonzo Mourning
Why: A fringe Hall of Fame talent, Mourning was absolutely a top post player of this era. His size and footwork was stellar, and like any good big man, he wasn’t afraid to play the physical role (see his tenure with the Miami Heat vs. the Knicks). Again, Charlotte would have liked to hold onto him longer, but with Shaq off the board, this remains the right pick.

Pick 3: Minnesota Timberwolves
Who they took: Christian Laettner
Who they should have took: Christian Laettner
Why: There are people who did go after Laettner who had more productive (in ways) careers. While I wouldn’t label Laettner a bust by any stretch, pro Laettner was no college Laettner. He made one All-Star appearance (as a Hawk) and had an above average career. But even knowing all of what we know now, there is no way the Wolves could have or should have passed on such a talent here. He answered the questions about his size and position by putting on weight and becoming a power forward, though he probably would have benefited from not as much weight and playing as a stretch three.

Pick 4: Dallas Mavericks
Who they took: Jimmy Jackson
Who they should have took: Robert Horry (11th pick)
Why: While Jackson was the first part in the Mavericks’ eventual ‘3J’ plan with Jamal Mashburn and Jason Kidd, there is no way to logically pass on ‘Big Shot Rob’ (who more than earned that moniker) here. Horry was a critical part of many championships in Houston and with the Lakers. Imagine if he could have helped do the same thing in Dallas and made them a contender earlier than they were, bringing titles earlier than their 2011 crown.

Pick 5: Denver Nuggets
Who they took: LaPhonso Ellis
Who they should have took: Jim Jackson (4th pick)
Why: A win-win here for the Nuggets in keeping Ellis versus taking Jackson, but the heart of me feels that a more up-tempo look from Jackson would have benefited the Nuggets.

Pick 6: Washington Bullets
Who they took: Tom Gugliotta
Who they should have took: LaPhonso Ellis (5th pick)
Why: Knowing the injury woes that were on the way, Washington needed another playmaker and Horry’s jump would allow them to pass on big man Gugliotta here. Ellis would have helped a lot when Rex Chapman and Calbert Cheany slowed with injuries in the next couple of years.

Pick 7: Sacramento Kings
Who they took: Walt Williams
Who they should have took: Latrell Sprewell (24th pick)
Why: I’m not sure. At this point, the Kings were a total joke and not much was going to help. Sprewell was one of five future All-Stars from this class and did a lot of good on the court in averaging over 18 points per game in his career. His downside was clearly (mostly) off the court. The on the court issue? Would he have still choked his coach in Sacramento? Who knows.

Pick 8: Milwaukee Bucks
Who they took: Todd Day
Who they should have took: Tom Gugliotta (6th pick)
Why: Gugliotta was a quality big who you were going to get minutes and hard work from. He scored over 9,000 career points and had over 5,000 rebounds. Not a world breaker, but still sustainable numbers. And maybe the Bucks could have kept him for the two years he eventually averaged over 20 points per game in Minnesota. Day on the other hand spent more time out of the league than in it.

Pick 9: Philadelphia 76ers
Who they took: Clarence Weatherspoon
Who they should have took: Clarence Weatherspoon
Why: In a draft of journeymen, Weatherspoon would be a critical off the bench element. There was no 76ers of this era without him. The right pick then remains the best choice for Philly.

Pick 10: Atlanta Hawks
Who they took: Adam Keefe
Who they should have took: Doug Christie (17th pick)
Why: After early struggles/mediocrity, Christie had a tremendous career during the years 1996-2005 in Toronto and Sacramento. He became the Raptors all-time steals leader and was one of the lynch pins in the Chris Webber led Kings teams that gave the Lakers a run in the West year after year. Keefe’s nine year NBA tenure barely left him with better numbers than his four years at Stanford.

Pick 11: Houston Rockets
Who they took: Robert Horry
Who they should have took: Bryant Stith (13th pick)
Why: If there was a Denver Nuggets Hall of Fame, Stith would probably be the face of the 1990’s wing. He was a constant in a town without much promise. Not to say that he had a great career, but Stith was loyal and showed flashes of the ability that made him tough at the University of Virginia. He was solid, nothing more and nothing less. And while he wouldn’t have been as valuable as Horry ended up being, I still think he would have been valuable enough that the Rockets still would have won back-to-back titles with him instead.

Pick 12: Miami Heat
Who they took: Harold Miner
Who they should have took: Malik Sealy (14th pick)
Why: Malik Sealy’s career and life ended too early and tragically in 2000. His presence on the court was intimidating, especially in years with the Clippers and T-Wolves. His face, his frame…Malik had athletic ability for days, even if it didn’t always translate. He finished his career just shy of 5,000 points (still a 10.1 ppg average) and could have been valuable to the slow years in Miami before Alonzo Mourning made his way to South Beach.

Pick 13: Denver Nuggets
Who they took: Bryant Stith
Who they should have took: Anthony Peeler (15th pick)
Why: Peeler was a sharpshooter who rarely found his accuracy. In 2003-2004 he was on to the tune of 48.2 percent from long range. Drafting him was taking a chance that he would be on more often than not. Sadly, the Lakers found out he rarely was. Still he averaged almost 10 ppg and became the first Laker rookie to average double digit scoring in nine years and also cleaned up his off court issues.

Pick 14: Indiana Pacers
Who they took: Malik Sealy
Who they should have took: Walt Williams (7th pick)
Why: Williams was a NBA dud. His career at Maryland was more than just strong, but he never found a beat in the league. Still, at this spot, taking a chance on the 6-8 post was not going to hurt the Pacers. He was an All-Rookie second team selection and put up over 1,000 points in that first year, which would have been a boost for the Pacers off the bench.

Pick 15: Los Angeles Lakers
Who they took: Anthony Peeler
Who they should have took: Harold Miner (12th pick)
Why: Part of me says that this pick should have gone to either Hubert Davis, Jon Barry or Tracy Murray, but I think even knowing what we know, that you have to take the chance on “Baby Jordan.” The toughest thing for Miner in that moniker (which has been often called the beginning of his downfall) is that he was really the first person to have to carry the weight of being the “next Michael Jordan.” That tag holds no weight anymore. Everyone seems to be the next someone. And there have been plenty of other “next Jordans” like Grant Hill and Allen Iverson, but it didn’t sting anyone like it stung the first. And perhaps he would have gotten more playing time and better work in LA than he did in Miami, extending his (what would be) short career beyond just a sideshow dunker.


2 comments:

Aces said...

Have Horry, Jackson and Ellis over Sprewell is a fucking joke

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